tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post3739901202186908487..comments2023-11-02T03:53:15.874-07:00Comments on The Slope of Hope.....with Tim Knight: Short the iPhone (and everything else.....)Tim Knighthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02142044637710306701noreply@blogger.comBlogger54125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-59587535222902526782007-06-12T15:22:00.000-07:002007-06-12T15:22:00.000-07:00Some humans take this market seriously and others ...Some humans take this market seriously and others as a sideshow. I choose to take it seriously and work extremely hard to make it easier to understand for others. Plus I think when people are investing and putting hard earned money on the line everyday ..it shouldn't be a huge joke and it should betreated with some respect. Tim has made a great call in here and it needs to be noted ...plain and simple.<BR/><BR/>TTTTOMTHETRADERhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15362532176352685922noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-4163982191176794712007-06-12T15:13:00.000-07:002007-06-12T15:13:00.000-07:00Geez gawd Tom,I'd rather the blaring commercial hu...Geez gawd Tom,<BR/><BR/>I'd rather the blaring commercial huckster-Tom than the fawning truckle-Tom.<BR/><BR/>Bleeeechhh.JakeGinthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10979786800235676920noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-75858822926652165682007-06-12T14:26:00.000-07:002007-06-12T14:26:00.000-07:00I'll point out to the bears that this decline seem...I'll point out to the bears that this decline seems to be totally dependant on interest rates continuing to rise. Bonds are severely oversold. I don't see this decline continuing if bond rates start to moderate. I don't think I would be willing to short willy nilly under the assumption that bond rates are going to just go straight up from here. BTW nothing goes straight up or straight down.Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-81216248496225437402007-06-12T14:13:00.000-07:002007-06-12T14:13:00.000-07:00Tim has my respect. Doesn't mean he can't be a go...Tim has my respect. Doesn't mean he can't be a good contra indicator like any perma bear. As for you sir, respect will be given when you prove on your site that you turned 21K into 231K in less than a year. And please don't tell us to read your posts. Show us your monthly statements, nothing else. I bet you won't.Damarketmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17531801475223783968noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-26885493026525254902007-06-12T14:02:00.000-07:002007-06-12T14:02:00.000-07:00DARKMARKETMAN ....Hvae you no respect ...try to be...DARKMARKETMAN ....Hvae you no respect ...try to be human for a minute and realize a lot of work goes into this. Tim doesn't jusr prance around web sites calling people names ..fact is this was a perfect call and the rewards from that should be #1 Money #2 Respect ...when anyone is passioante enough about anything to stick their Kahunas out there like we do everyday for cretins like you to pick apart ..well Tim deserves a ton of credit not only for his call here but providing lowlifes like you a place to get free information even though you are too stupid to use it ...maybe you will call someone from your I-Phone who cares about AAPL right now ...but don't let the battery run out or burn your leg on the way !!!<BR/><BR/>Tim and I do not agree on alot of things and he may not even care for me or my site but when you get to a stage in investing where you know exactly where the market is going to go ..it is a pretty good achievement and deserves a lot of respect.<BR/><BR/>Tom TTTTOMTHETRADERhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15362532176352685922noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-14225945306907431342007-06-12T13:25:00.000-07:002007-06-12T13:25:00.000-07:00Damarketman, and don't forget that the volume was ...Damarketman, and don't forget that the volume was up quite seriously : 50.778.095 shares traded.<BR/>Although WWDC was a 'disappointment' for some daytraders and made aapl go down 3,5%, I suspect a lot of them are sorry they sold then.philippehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10254150515302359826noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-42966267580640612382007-06-12T13:23:00.000-07:002007-06-12T13:23:00.000-07:00VNO worked well for me today along with virtual vo...VNO worked well for me today along with virtual volume tipping me off to CAL first thing this morning. I bought puts on the cubes first thing out of the gate and they did nothing for me all day. Great Day though.dbohntrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11689820735384410408noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-803552889160862532007-06-12T13:16:00.000-07:002007-06-12T13:16:00.000-07:00VIDEO, VIDEO, VIDEO, VIDEOI'll take the the shortc...VIDEO, VIDEO, VIDEO, VIDEO<BR/><BR/>I'll take the the shortcut compromise.dbohntrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11689820735384410408noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-81734242519784867932007-06-12T13:04:00.000-07:002007-06-12T13:04:00.000-07:00Philipe, COMP down .87% and AAPL closing green. H...Philipe, COMP down .87% and AAPL closing green. Hmmm...on this positively diverging action, whenever this rate scare fades, looks like AAPL will go back testing the recent highs very quickly. Our bets are safe imho.Damarketmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17531801475223783968noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-23366990623779095292007-06-12T12:47:00.000-07:002007-06-12T12:47:00.000-07:00On the subject of AAPL, while there is a lot of hy...On the subject of <B>AAPL</B>, while there is a lot of hype surrounding its iPhone, one needs to realise that <B>AAPL</B> is growing earnings by 40% + every quarter even without the iPhone and is expected to grow at 25-30% into the foreseable future yet it trades at a PE of under 40. So for <B>AAPL</B> to decline either some catalyst needs to occur to drop the multiple and thus share price or we need to enter a major bear market in which case a drop in <B>AAPL</B> share price will make it a screaming buy. <BR/> On the other hand, if analysts give <B>AAPL</B> a 50 multiple which it deserves, than the share price will likely rocket north of $160. <BR/><BR/>DISCLOSURE : No position in AAPL though I was long between 2004-2006.TheCapitalGamehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12206237733012373999noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-72326716324812928452007-06-12T12:42:00.000-07:002007-06-12T12:42:00.000-07:00"You bears got more firepower than this, right?"Um..."You bears got more firepower than this, right?"<BR/><BR/>Ummm, what, did you post that for the brief moment the Dow was up? Kinda premature of you, doncha think? 19 minutes left to go, and the Dow(n) Jones is negative 113.<BR/><BR/>So, yeah. We're fine. Thanks for checking in.Tim Knighthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02142044637710306701noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-44964238915472773402007-06-12T11:17:00.000-07:002007-06-12T11:17:00.000-07:00You bears got more firepower than this, right?You bears got more firepower than this, right?beanie11111https://www.blogger.com/profile/06849880637739382620noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-41692910970492461532007-06-12T11:13:00.000-07:002007-06-12T11:13:00.000-07:00"On another subject, I'm surprised you don't see t..."On another subject, I'm surprised you don't see the 1/2 H&S in ONT though. $2 is a possibility and then $1.50 when that line fails."<BR/><BR/>I am a p*ssy of a bull. I sold my 9,000 shares this morning at $2.83. I just couldn't reconcile a long position (especially in a microcap stock) given my general market outlook. I made a few hundred bucks, so - like the kids say - it's all good.Tim Knighthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02142044637710306701noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-50824759257796315382007-06-12T10:38:00.000-07:002007-06-12T10:38:00.000-07:00Tim,Would you please do a post on how you manage r...Tim,<BR/><BR/>Would you please do a post on how you manage risk/manage your trades? I think it would be very interesting to your readers to hear some details as to the general strategy that you employ, especially regarding options.<BR/><BR/>I noticed from above that you use a contingent stop based upon the underlying, so I imagine that you must monitor them and avoid hard stops.<BR/><BR/>Options are very dangerous for amateur investors, and from what I can tell, there seem to be a few of them out there in the blogosphere, so you may be saving a few accounts. Who knows.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07401402773690968514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-66633303958216629562007-06-12T10:33:00.000-07:002007-06-12T10:33:00.000-07:00Including Notes as events would be much better tha...Including Notes as events would be much better than keeping them connected with the lines BUT having a separate control would be preferred.<BR/><BR/>As a Trader in Training, I like to put all my transactions on the charts so I can plot how good or rotten my timing was in retrospect...AssetStrategistshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01819129438685941822noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-5275036424291497342007-06-12T10:16:00.000-07:002007-06-12T10:16:00.000-07:00Ok, discussion closed....for now.And Tim, probably...Ok, discussion closed....for now.<BR/>And Tim, probably my trading account is smaller than yours, but I'm less diversified. Diversification is for birds anyway ;-)philippehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10254150515302359826noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-3357023878542157322007-06-12T10:10:00.000-07:002007-06-12T10:10:00.000-07:00Fair enough. None of us is in for a S-T trade any...Fair enough. None of us is in for a S-T trade anyway. And AAPL will be very volatile ahead of the Iphone launch so why waste time debating for nothing. <BR/><BR/>On another subject, I'm surprised you don't see the 1/2 H&S in ONT though. $2 is a possibility and then $1.50 when that line fails.Damarketmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17531801475223783968noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-728712371343333532007-06-12T09:55:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:55:00.000-07:00I'll ask about the shortcut.....as a suggested com...I'll ask about the shortcut.....as a suggested compromise, what about including notes as an "event" so that Ctrl-E (which toggles the display of events) also gets rid of notes?<BR/><BR/>Let's stop the AAPL debate for now. Clearly the price action isn't going to play out in one session. And anyway, it's obvious you guys have much bigger trading accounts than I do :-)Tim Knighthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02142044637710306701noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-45114203990911365362007-06-12T09:51:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:51:00.000-07:00tim,I want to second the shortcuts to remove just ...tim,<BR/>I want to second the shortcuts to remove just the notes. I write all over my charts and then when sending to friends or posting to blog, I have to erase. CTL + N would be sweet.dbohntrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11689820735384410408noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-90923567292726892472007-06-12T09:37:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:37:00.000-07:00Tim is out having dinner :-)Tim is out having dinner :-)philippehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10254150515302359826noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-35029757675689209342007-06-12T09:20:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:20:00.000-07:00Jeez, you better get out Tim. Seriously.Jeez, you better get out Tim. Seriously.Damarketmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17531801475223783968noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-62650578243237339502007-06-12T09:18:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:18:00.000-07:00LOL, I love Segways.Concerning the iPhone, the mos...LOL, I love Segways.<BR/>Concerning the iPhone, the most important thing about it is the software. Jobs has always known this. It's the software that counts. By putting a full-blown MacOsX on it, he trumps the competition. Why do you think he doesn't just open it up to developers? He would give away the biggest asset : security and stability (and ease of use) of MacOsX.<BR/>Now just sit back, relax and imagine the synergies that could be when you start combining the iPhone with let's say Apple TV. Need I go on?philippehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10254150515302359826noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-61568929470567973332007-06-12T09:11:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:11:00.000-07:00Looks like those Segways are a big hit with Police...Looks like those Segways are a big hit with Police forces. <BR/><BR/>In Long Beach:<BR/><BR/>http://www.newsday.com/news/printedition/longisland/ny-liseg065244075jun06,0,840634.story<BR/><BR/>In NYC: <BR/><BR/>http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/05/17/hootie-hoo-nypd-buys-10-segways/<BR/><BR/>LOL! Maybe they found a lucrative after all.<BR/><BR/>And maybe the Iphone will find its niche too! :)Damarketmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17531801475223783968noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-20617126636203491262007-06-12T09:04:00.001-07:002007-06-12T09:04:00.001-07:00Symbol : APVJE and I bought them at 12,75 (said th...Symbol : APVJE and I bought them at 12,75 (said that in the first post).<BR/>My stop-loss is 105, since this is the reinvestment of profits that I gained on the other calls. Oh and BTW, I've been in Apple since they traded for 29$.philippehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10254150515302359826noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11789233.post-12765717987869526302007-06-12T09:04:00.000-07:002007-06-12T09:04:00.000-07:00Tim, I own 10 contracts of those Oct 120 calls QAA...Tim, I own 10 contracts of those Oct 120 calls QAAJD. Paid 12 and now worth 12.2/12.40. Contingent stop 109.<BR/><BR/>You can still get 8.20 for your puts. Nice profit for one day... unless you prefer to see it disappear. Hurry up!<BR/><BR/>Good luck!Damarketmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17531801475223783968noreply@blogger.com